Time: Thu Jul 24 06:21:02 1997 by primenet.com (8.8.5/8.8.5) with ESMTP id GAA12906 for [address in tool bar]; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 06:12:18 -0700 (MST) by usr09.primenet.com (8.8.5/8.8.5) with SMTP id GAA08553; Thu, 24 Jul 1997 06:10:06 -0700 (MST) Date: Thu, 24 Jul 1997 06:09:35 -0700 To: (Recipient list suppressed) From: Paul Andrew Mitchell [address in tool bar] Subject: SLS: TWA800: FBI's Rigged Logic (fwd) <snip> > _____________________________________ > (free to copy nonprofit with attribute) > ------------------------------------- > > > T H E F B I 's R I G G E D L O G I C > > > (c) 1997 Ian Williams Goddard > > THE FBI's TWA 800 investigation is being directed by > an outdated, ineffective, and flawed standard of logic. > FBI agent James Kallstrom defined the black-and-white > fallacy of Aristotelian logic the FBI is applying in > their investigation of the TWA 800 crash [1]: > > "You don't have a little bit of > forensics... It doesn't go from 0 > to 50 percent, it goes from 0 to 100." > > Kallstrom is saying that a given piece of wreckage is > either 100% evidence of a crime or it is 0% evidence > of a crime, it is never a fraction of 100%, such as 20% > or 60% evidence of a crime. That expresses the standard > of Aristotelian logic: X is either A or not A, X is not > both A and not A at the same time. That Aristotelian > standard of logic is, however, most often false. > > > SAY HELLO TO FUZZY LOGIC > > Fuzzy logic is the cutting edge in the field of logic. > Fuzzy logic establishes that there are degrees of truth > with respect to a given statement and physical facts. If > I say that a glass of water that is 70% full is "a full > glass," that is 70% true (hence the statement is both > true (70%) and not true (30%) at the same time). [2] > > If, in accord with Aristotelian standards, we say that > because the glass is not 100% full, the statement "it's > a full glass" is therefore 0% true, then we discard 100% > of the truth about physical facts that the statement does > contain, which is 70% of the truth it claims to contain. > > The fuzzy-logic conclusion "Statement X = 70% true" tells > us more about physical facts than the "X = 0% true" con- > clusion of Aristotelian logic. Fuzzy is more accurate. > > The Aristotelian standard of logic the FBI applies dictates > that if the wreckage of TWA 800 contained evidence that sat- > isfied the standard "100% evidence of a missile hit" by > 95%, such that there was 95% evidence of a missile hit, > then the FBI would, by the rules Kallstrom has stipulated, > declare that there is 0% evidence of a missile hit, since > if there is not 100%, then there can only be 0% evidence. > > I would say that the TWA 800 wreckage satisfies the > standard "100% evidence of a missile hit" by a very > high degree: http://www.erols.com/igoddard/crash.htm > > > IN CONCLUSION > > With Aristotelian logic in hand, the FBI can (a) sweep 99% > of the truth under the rug, (b) claim there is 0% evidence > of a missile hit, and (c) still claim to be truthful, where > a "truthful conclusion" is defined as one derived from the > flawed black-and-white standards of Aristotelian logic. I > believe that's exactly what the FBI is doing, and here's > the evidence: http://www.erols.com/igoddard/journal.htm > > >******************************************************************* >Visit Ian Williams Goddard ------> http://www.erols.com/igoddard >___________________________________________________________________ > >[1] THE BOSTON GLOBE: Recovery of Debris From >747 is Made a Priority. By Pamela Ferdinand >and Ellen O'Brien, July 29, 1996. Go to: >http://www.globe.com/globe/search/ enter >"747" select 1996, 50, oldest to newest. > >[2] LINKS TO FUZZY LOGIC > >Fuzzy Logic Newsgroup: comp.ai.fuzzy >Fuzzy Logic Web-pages: >Lessons in: http://www.flll.uni-linz.ac.at/fuzzy/fuzzy.html >Tutorial: http://life.csu.edu.au/complex/tutorials/fuzzy.html >Overview: http://darwin1.ucsd.edu/connect/articles/success/logic.html >Defined: http://tima-cmp.imag.fr/Homepages/firas/fuzzy.html >& Neural Networks: http://www.vjf.com/pub/docs/neural.html >A fuzzy business: http://www.itri.loyola.edu/kb/c5_s4.htm >Fuzzy Logic ftp sites: cair.kaist.ac.kr, ftp.hiof.no ======================================================================== Paul Andrew Mitchell : Counselor at Law, federal witness B.A., Political Science, UCLA; M.S., Public Administration, U.C. Irvine tel: (520) 320-1514: machine; fax: (520) 320-1256: 24-hour/day-night email: [address in tool bar] : using Eudora Pro 3.0.3 on 586 CPU website: http://www.supremelaw.com : visit the Supreme Law Library now ship to: c/o 2509 N. Campbell, #1776 : this is free speech, at its best Tucson, Arizona state : state zone, not the federal zone Postal Zone 85719/tdc : USPS delays first class w/o this As agents of the Most High, we came here to establish justice. We shall not leave, until our mission is accomplished and justice reigns eternal. ======================================================================== [This text formatted on-screen in Courier 11, non-proportional spacing.]
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